NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at two p.m. ET, and each corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked trail where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next success of the 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and can be listed at 14-1 to triumph in the most current 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are just six drivers using 2019 NASCAR in Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your 2019 Food City 500 choices, visit the NASCAR at Bristol predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and recent results into account.

The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a top contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those motorists in McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His version mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For Sundaywe could inform you the model is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this track among busy NASCAR drivers. This includes a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way to the front of the pack from the starting position because race and has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting places to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash at Daytona and third in Atlanta.

And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the best Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better worth compared to 12-1 premium he is controlling.

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