NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at two p.m. ET, and every corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked track where passing is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second success of the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be listed at 14-1 to triumph in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. However, there are just six drivers with 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your 2019 Food City 500 picks, visit the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven pc version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a top contender in the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those drivers in McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes at the Auto Club 400. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we could inform you the version is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this track among busy NASCAR drivers. This comes with a victory last August in the NASCAR in Bristol race for his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way to the front of the pack from the ninth starting position in that race and has also previously come from the 27th and 13th starting places to succeed at Bristol. He conquer Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and certainly will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash at Daytona and third at Atlanta.

Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites at 12-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better values compared to 12-1 premium he’s controlling.

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